Insights

Weekly Market Update | 29 April 2024

April 29, 2024

🇿🇦Local Market Indicators & News Highlights

🌟 Clicks Group Reports Strong Half-Year Earnings Growth

Clicks Group announced an impressive  13% increase in earnings for the half-year ending February 29, 2024, with diluted headline earnings per share (HEPS) rising to 534 cents from 472.2 cents in the previous year. This growth was propelled by heightened demand for beauty and personal care products. The company, which is the largest pharmacy chain in South Africa, also projects a 10% to 15% rise in diluted HEPS for the fiscal year ending August 31, driven by gains in market share within the retail health and beauty sectors, growth in private label offerings, and stronger profit margins. The group's turnover grew by 9% to R21.8 billion, with retail turnover from Clicks, The Body Shop, Sorbet, and GNC brands climbing 12.4% to R17.3 billion. However, turnover in United Pharmaceutical Distributors, its bulk and wholesale division, saw a modest increase of 1.3% to R8.1 billion, affected by new systems implementations and sluggish hospital occupancy rates.

🌟 New Depositor Protection Scheme Now Active in South Africa
The Corporation for Deposit Insurance (Codi) has launched a new depositor insurance scheme effective April 1, 2024. This scheme, backed by the South African Reserve Bank and integrated into the global deposit insurance standards, assures individual and business depositors protection up to R100,000 per bank. Governor Lesetja Kganyago highlighted that the plan, in the works since 2002, aims to enhance depositor confidence and prevent crises like the 2002 Saambou Bank run. The coverage includes savings, transactional, and fixed deposit accounts, with an initiative to accelerate access to funds from 20 days to between 3-7 days in the event of a bank failure. By safeguarding deposits across all banks, Codi supports a diversified and stable banking sector, encouraging public trust in newer financial institutions.


🌟  Anglo American Spurns BHP's $39 Billion Takeover Bid as Underwhelming

Anglo American firmly rejected a massive $39 billion takeover bid from the mining giant BHP Group, declaring it significantly undervalued. The ambitious proposal entailed Anglo divesting its South African platinum and iron ore businesses to pave the way for an all-share acquisition, aiming to solidify BHP's copper resources amid anticipated global shortages. However, Anglo dismissed the offer as opportunistic and highly unattractive, citing considerable uncertainty and execution risks. This rejection is a stark reminder of the intense jockeying for strategic assets among global miners, especially those like Anglo, which possess coveted copper operations vital for the energy transition. As the corporate chess game continues, the industry watches eagerly to see if BHP will sweeten its proposal or if other players will enter the fray, potentially sparking the largest industry shakeup in a decade.

🌍 Global Market Indicators & News Highlights

🇺🇸 United States: Signs of Resilience Amid Economic Challenges

Equities Regain Momentum: The S&P 500 Index along with other major benchmarks broke a three-week losing streak driven by a robust first-quarter earnings season. Analysts expect S&P 500 earnings to have increased by 3.7% compared to last year, with a significant number of companies surpassing their earnings expectations.

Tech Sector Leads Gains: The Nasdaq Composite, bolstered by strong performances from Apple and a late surge in NVIDIA, led the gains. Alphabet's announcement of better-than-expected earnings and its first dividend payment also boosted its shares, while Facebook’s Meta Platforms saw a sharp decline following its spending plans announcement.

Economic Data Mixed: Despite positive market reactions, economic indicators were mixed. A contraction in manufacturing and a slowdown in GDP growth to 1.6% raised concerns of an economic slowdown. Conversely, ongoing strong capital spending in March suggested resilience in business investment.

🇪🇺 Europe: Market Confidence Boosted by Business Activity

Indices on the Rise: European markets saw a rebound with the STOXX Europe 600 Index ending the week up by 1.74%. Positive movements were also seen in Germany's DAX and the UK's FTSE 100, the latter reaching new highs due to strong business activity.

ECB's Rate Outlook: Despite potential rate cuts indicated for June, ECB officials remain cautious. The emphasis on persistent services inflation suggests a challenging path ahead for rate adjustments.

Economic Indicators Improve: Business activity across the eurozone showed significant growth, with the composite PMI hitting a near-year high. In Germany, both PMI and business confidence indicators suggested an economic recovery may be underway.

🇬🇧 United Kingdom: Resilient Growth Amid Inflation Challenges

Market Resilience: The FTSE 100 Index reached new highs, gaining 3.09% due to a weak pound enhancing the value of multinational companies' overseas earnings.

Economic Indicators: The UK saw its business activity surge with the composite PMI climbing to 54.0 in April, signaling the fastest expansion in nearly a year, driven by service and manufacturing growth.

Inflation and Monetary Policy: Inflation decelerated to 3.2% in March, slightly less than expected, keeping pressure on the Bank of England (BoE) to manage inflation carefully without stifling growth. Wage growth remains strong at 6%, suggesting ongoing inflationary pressures.

🇯🇵 Japan: Yen Weakness Amid Economic Stabilization

Market Gains: Japanese stock indices, such as the Nikkei 225 and TOPIX, benefited from the ongoing weakness of the yen, though there was no governmental intervention in currency markets.

BOJ Stance: The Bank of Japan maintained its dovish policy stance but hinted at a possible increase in confidence for future rate hikes.

Inflation and Economic Data: Tokyo’s core CPI indicated easing inflation pressures, while business confidence and private sector activity showed signs of expansion, hinting at sustained economic growth.

🇨🇳 China: Economic Optimism Despite Challenges

Stock Market Improvements: The Shanghai Composite and CSI 300 indices experienced gains amidst a more optimistic economic outlook. The Hang Seng Index saw significant gains, boosted by positive GDP growth figures.

GDP and Inflation Forecasts: Economic growth outpaced expectations with a GDP increase of 5.3% in the first quarter. However, declining producer prices and ongoing issues in the property market tempered inflation expectations.

Monetary Policy Steady: The People’s Bank of China maintained stability in its lending rates, reflecting a cautious approach to monetary easing despite recent liquidity adjustments.

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