Insights

Weekly Market Update | 05 February 2024

February 9, 2024

🇿🇦Local Market Indicators & News Highlights

🌟 IMF Cuts South Africa’s Growth Forecast

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has reduced South Africa's growth outlook for 2024, attributing the revision to energy sector disruptions and logistical issues affecting transportation, freight, and ports. The forecast for GDP growth has been adjusted from an initial 1.8% to a mere 1%, with a further reduction to 1.3% for 2025. These challenges are not only stifling South Africa's economic activity but are also a drag on the broader Sub-Saharan African region, which is now expected to grow by 3.8%.

 🌟 MultiChoice’s Share Price Surge

MultiChoice's stock soared by over 26% following a R31.7 billion acquisition offer from Canal+, which currently holds a 31.7% stake in MultiChoice. The offer, set at a 40% premium over the recent closing price, has sparked interest in the potential listing of Canal+ on the JSE. However, regulatory restrictions on foreign shareholder voting rights in South African broadcasting companies pose questions on the deal's structure.

🌟 Growthpoint's Renewable Energy Initiative

Growthpoint Properties has inked a Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) with Etana Energy, securing 195GWh of renewable energy annually, covering 32% of its consumption needs. This pioneering multi-source renewable energy wheeling arrangement allows Growthpoint tenants to access green energy, significantly advancing the company's carbon-neutral goals by 2050. The initiative includes a strategic investment in hydroelectric power, emphasizing Growthpoint’s commitment to environmental sustainability and innovation in energy procurement.

🌍Global Market Indicators & News Highlights

🇺🇸 US - A Roller Coaster of Events

Stocks: The big players (large-cap stocks) hit new heights, while the smaller ones (small-caps) had a bit of a stumble. Despite some highs, it was a mixed bag with tech giants making waves with their earnings reports.

Earnings Season: Tech giants like Microsoft, Google, and AMD had a rocky moment with their earnings guidance, causing some market dips. But then, Amazon, Meta (Facebook's parent), and Apple came through with some positive surprises, helping the market bounce back.

Federal Reserve & Interest Rates: The Fed held a meeting and, long story short, they're not keen on cutting rates in March. This, coupled with a strong jobs report showing more jobs added than expected, suggests the economy is doing alright, making a rate cut less likely.

🇪🇺 Europe - Dodging Economic Bullet

Market Movement: Stocks were mostly on a slight downslide, with Italy being the exception with a bit of an uptick.

Economy & Inflation: The eurozone managed to skirt a recession, and inflation rates are slowly cooling down, offering a glimmer of hope.

Bank of England: Held interest rates steady but hinted they might consider lowering them if inflation continues to cool down. Also, the UK housing market is showing signs of stabilization.

🇯🇵 Japan - Signs of Economic Strength

Bank of Japan: Feeling optimistic about reaching their price stability target and considering normalizing monetary policy.

Manufacturing: Saw a bit of a dip, but there's some optimism in the air with manufacturing conditions showing signs of improvement

🇨🇳 China - Challenges Ahead

Stocks: Took a hit, marking a significant weekly loss amid economic worries and property sector woes.

Economic Data: Mixed signals with some PMI improvements but overall concern about the growth outlook.

Property Market: Remains in a slump, with major developers like Evergrande facing serious financial distress, adding to the economic gloom.

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